Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.484790 5.999775 6.563605 7.230780 8.003986 8.878433 9.951623
2025-02-23 4.736269 5.447278 6.288232 7.373127 8.761538 10.516937 12.970292
2025-03-02 4.139859 4.906309 5.856687 7.152426 8.925116 11.351917 15.098859
2025-03-09 3.744869 4.538809 5.559192 7.011864 9.109835 12.182368 17.370554
2025-03-16 3.468512 4.282803 5.361320 6.955020 9.370019 13.134006 20.068499
2025-03-23 3.322279 4.178248 5.346537 7.139825 9.998177 14.766784 24.483513
2025-03-30 3.085073 3.925891 5.096034 6.937843 9.975718 15.291100 26.957955
2025-04-06 2.877410 3.697669 4.857938 6.723566 9.893198 15.678855 29.284091
2025-04-13 2.695620 3.493019 4.636765 6.510079 9.776754 15.971197 31.509422
2025-04-20 2.571417 3.362722 4.515332 6.442556 9.904276 16.766602 35.385437
2025-04-27 2.515115 3.327073 4.532975 6.603340 10.468906 18.603894 43.285438
2025-05-04 2.471200 3.306052 4.570029 6.798583 11.128500 20.840514 54.325886
2025-05-11 2.377745 3.212517 4.497937 6.818779 11.494977 22.636169 66.408045
2025-05-18 2.309217 3.154590 4.481449 6.943276 12.119766 25.395048 87.475399
2025-05-25 2.186158 3.003845 4.300259 6.740879 11.993466 26.034110 99.076302
2025-06-01 2.087392 2.885809 4.165325 6.612086 12.012853 27.133659 116.485172
2025-06-08 2.010329 2.797958 4.075113 6.559981 12.203140 28.871892 144.503748
2025-06-15 1.975737 2.776153 4.096062 6.729306 12.966382 32.971205 216.644824
2025-06-22 1.888160 2.663302 3.950264 6.544232 12.796762 33.574944 252.215626
2025-06-29 1.804948 2.554053 3.804852 6.347648 12.568108 33.880357 288.426085
2025-07-06 1.727283 2.450863 3.664955 6.151533 12.313484 34.005098 326.344946
2025-07-13 1.674163 2.386345 3.591083 6.089450 12.417514 35.763667 432.275968
2025-07-20 1.653896 2.375752 3.613907 6.237237 13.141171 40.880045 832.854079